We urgently need to do – and I mean actually do – something radical to avert a global catastrophe.

We can rightly call the situation we’re in an unprecedented emergency. But the science points to my not being wrong. It’s called the Popperian condition of falsifiability. I spend my life trying to prove my work wrong or look for alternative explanations for my results. Steven Emmott says We are all fucked and should get guns for the coming Road Warrior planet To accomplish such a radical change in behaviour would also need radical government action. In short, we urgently need to consume less. The only solution left to us is to change our behaviour, radically and globally, on every level. Steven Emmott says We must all repent and consume radically less It will lead to runaway climate change, capable of tipping the planet into an entirely different state, rapidly. It is now very likely that we are looking at a future global average rise of 4C – and we can’t rule out a rise of 6C. To meet that demand, we will need to build, roughly speaking, something like: 1,800 of the world’s largest dams, or 23,000 nuclear power stations, 14m wind turbines, 36bn solar panels, or just keep going with predominantly oil, coal and gas – and build the 36,000 new power stations that means we will need. We are going to have to triple – at least – energy production by the end of this century to meet expected demand. Yet food productivity is set to decline, possibly very sharply, over the coming decades due to: climate change soil degradation and desertification Indeed, simply to feed ourselves in the next 40 years, we will need to produce more food than the entire agricultural output of the past 10,000 years combined.

We currently have no known means of being able to feed 10 billion of us at our current rate of consumption and with our current agricultural system. Steven Emmott says we are Doomed from not enough food, not enough water, temperature rise I then rebutt the doomer garbage in and only garbage out model. It end where he basically suggests we give our kids guns to prepare for the chaos of collapse. Oxford Computer Science Professor Steven Emmott published a book Ten Billion and an article about it in The Guardian.įirst are Steven’s claims of doom. In the grand tradition of Malthus, Limits to Growth, Chicken Little and the Boy who cried wolf we have another spreadsheet and book that says we and the Earth are doomed.

Fishing planet spreadsheet updated